@raydalio
3.4Kposts
1.9Mfollowers
5following
📈Founder of Bridgewater Associates 📚Author of #1 NYT Bestseller ‘Principles’ 🤦♂️Professional Mistake Maker 🎯Take My Personality Assessment
This account appears as recommended in the profiles of these creators:
History shows us that having too much debt during an economic downturn leads to a classic, self-reinforcing cycle where: 1) The empire can no longer borrow the money to repay its debts 2) It prints a lot of new money, which devalues the currency and raises inflation 3) Living standards decline, leading to the rise of political extremism 4) Turbulent economic conditions undermine productivity and there is conflict about how to divide the shrinking resources 5) Populist leaders emerge pledging to take control and bring about order #principles #raydalio #history #debt
When debts become very large, and there is an economic downturn, and the empire can no longer borrow the money necessary to repay its debts, the financial bubble bursts. This creates great domestic hardships and forces the country to choose between defaulting on its debts
The bond market is the backbone of all markets. Paying attention to certain market actions can tell you a lot about the supply-demand picture, and whether it’s at risk of breaking down. You learn more about what this means for all of us in my new book, How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle, available for pre-order at the link in my bio. #principles #raydalio #howcountriesgobroke #bondmarket
Watch the bond market. The bond market is the basis, it's the backbone of all markets. It is the risk-free, meaning default-free, probably default-free,
History shows us that having too much debt during an economic downturn leads to a classic, self-reinforcing cycle where: 1) The empire can no longer borrow the money to repay its debts 2) It prints a lot of new money, which devalues the currency and raises inflation 3) Living standards decline, leading to the rise of political extremism 4) Turbulent economic conditions undermine productivity and there is conflict about how to divide the shrinking resources 5) Populist leaders emerge pledging to take control and bring about order
When debts become very large, and there is an economic downturn, and the empire can no longer borrow the money necessary to repay its debts, the financial bubble bursts. This creates great domestic hardships and forces the country to choose between defaulting on its debts
The basic picture has not changed — if the US doesn’t cut the deficit to 3% of the GDP, and soon, we risk facing an economic heart attack in the next three years. The good news is that these cuts are possible. If we change spending and income (tax returns) by 4% while the economy is still good, the interest rate will go down as a result and we’ll be in a much better situation. And we know this kind of balance is possible because it happened between 1991-1998. My fear is that we will probably not make these needed cuts due to political reasons, and will have even more debt and debt service encroaching on our spending that will ultimately lead to a serious supply-demand problem.
Three months ago, Ray, you said that we were about three years away from the U.S. going broke. A lot has changed since then. The tariffs, Liberation Day, the markets, no spasms from that. And Moody's downgraded the U.S. debt. They were the third of the ratings agencies to do so. How close are we now, if not three years away? Well, it really depends on how we're
From $5 to billions... Comment “Ray” and I’ll personally DM you our conversation. Ray Dalio shares the story of his very first investment, how that small risk shaped his perspective on money, and the lessons it taught him that later helped him build one of the largest hedge funds in the world. What’s the most valuable lesson you’ve learned from your first big risk? Credit: @raydalio x @thediaryofaceopodcast
only stock I ever heard of that was selling for less than $5 a share, and I was lucky. Funny story, and that's when I formed Bridgewater. Bridgewater became the largest hedge fund in the world. Managing how much? $150 billion. When I was 12, a kid, I earned money with odd jobs.
History shows us that having too much debt during an economic downturn leads to a classic, self-reinforcing cycle where: 1) The empire can no longer borrow the money to repay its debts 2) It prints a lot of new money, which devalues the currency and raises inflation 3) Living standards decline, leading to the rise of political extremism 4) Turbulent economic conditions undermine productivity and there is conflict about how to divide the shrinking resources 5) Populist leaders emerge pledging to take control and bring about order #principles #raydalio #history #debt
When debts become very large, and there is an economic downturn, and the empire can no longer borrow the money necessary to repay its debts, the financial bubble bursts. This creates great domestic hardships and forces the country to choose between defaulting on its debts
The bond market is the backbone of all markets. Paying attention to certain market actions can tell you a lot about the supply-demand picture, and whether it’s at risk of breaking down. You learn more about what this means for all of us in my new book, How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle, available for pre-order at the link in my bio. #principles #raydalio #howcountriesgobroke #bondmarket
Watch the bond market. The bond market is the basis, it's the backbone of all markets. It is the risk-free, meaning default-free, probably default-free,
History shows us that having too much debt during an economic downturn leads to a classic, self-reinforcing cycle where: 1) The empire can no longer borrow the money to repay its debts 2) It prints a lot of new money, which devalues the currency and raises inflation 3) Living standards decline, leading to the rise of political extremism 4) Turbulent economic conditions undermine productivity and there is conflict about how to divide the shrinking resources 5) Populist leaders emerge pledging to take control and bring about order
When debts become very large, and there is an economic downturn, and the empire can no longer borrow the money necessary to repay its debts, the financial bubble bursts. This creates great domestic hardships and forces the country to choose between defaulting on its debts
The basic picture has not changed — if the US doesn’t cut the deficit to 3% of the GDP, and soon, we risk facing an economic heart attack in the next three years. The good news is that these cuts are possible. If we change spending and income (tax returns) by 4% while the economy is still good, the interest rate will go down as a result and we’ll be in a much better situation. And we know this kind of balance is possible because it happened between 1991-1998. My fear is that we will probably not make these needed cuts due to political reasons, and will have even more debt and debt service encroaching on our spending that will ultimately lead to a serious supply-demand problem.
Three months ago, Ray, you said that we were about three years away from the U.S. going broke. A lot has changed since then. The tariffs, Liberation Day, the markets, no spasms from that. And Moody's downgraded the U.S. debt. They were the third of the ratings agencies to do so. How close are we now, if not three years away? Well, it really depends on how we're
From $5 to billions... Comment “Ray” and I’ll personally DM you our conversation. Ray Dalio shares the story of his very first investment, how that small risk shaped his perspective on money, and the lessons it taught him that later helped him build one of the largest hedge funds in the world. What’s the most valuable lesson you’ve learned from your first big risk? Credit: @raydalio x @thediaryofaceopodcast
only stock I ever heard of that was selling for less than $5 a share, and I was lucky. Funny story, and that's when I formed Bridgewater. Bridgewater became the largest hedge fund in the world. Managing how much? $150 billion. When I was 12, a kid, I earned money with odd jobs.
Unlock full access to all creators
You're viewing the first 5 creators. Subscribe to see all results and access advanced filters.
Upgrade to Pro